Sunday, November 8, 2009

Gettin' Lucky (Oh get your mind out of the gutter.)

I think luck is an interesting idea. The concept that every random decision has meaning, and that one person can have an advantage over others in a random situation - just for being them. It's interesting, but that really doesn't make it true. Or even close to true. Random is random, regardless of who you are, or what the situation is (unless the situation is rigging the "random" outcome.). What's even weirder is how obsessed people get over luck. The artificial high you get when you win, and the "trends" you discover from your winning, fuel a billion-dollar industry known as gambling. So why is luck so appealing?

The answer is that it isn't. Luck only becomes interesting when you apply a penalty/reward to it. Just guessing numbers with the hope that the ones you guessed will fall out of a machine isn't fun - until you give several million dollars to whoever can pull it off. Poker itself is a fun game, but that's because it's a mix of luck AND strategy. Knowing the exact odds of every outcome would give you the best chance to win, but it'd also take all the enjoyment out of it.

3 comments:

  1. Well said. Though your post title is obscene. Dirty little punk.

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  2. Wow Chris, it's kinda hard not to get my mind out of the gutter when you put it in for me, and it's even harder when the title is so very gutterful. But what I find funnier is the people who will look at the title read the little side note and still not get the joke, now that's funny. Oh and I like using funny titles it gets peoples attention so they actually read the post!

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